
As of early February 2026, the bitcoin price USD is hovering in the mid-$70,000s amid turbulent market conditions. Bitcoin has eased sharply from its all-time high (above $126,000 in October 2025) and is trading well below the $90,000–$100,000 range it held late last year. On Feb. 3, 2026, Bitcoin briefly dipped under $73,000 – its lowest level since November 2024 – before rebounding to around $76,800. This recent sell-off has plunged Bitcoin roughly 40% below its October peak, with investors citing a risk-averse mood and broader market weakness. For now, the bitcoin price USD is about 37–40% down from last year’s record highs.
Recent trading days have been rocky. On Monday Feb. 2, Bitcoin had already slumped from about $83,000 over the weekend to a low near $74,570 – its weakest since April 2025 – before stabilizing around $78,050 by Monday afternoon. By Tuesday’s session, it was trading in the high $70Ks, reflecting a volatile bounce. These swings mirror a broader pullback in risk assets: the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped over 1.4% on Feb. 2, and major tech stocks like Microsoft and Amazon saw sharp declines. For example, Microsoft slid 2.9% and Amazon fell 1.8% as of that session. In short, Bitcoin’s price in USD has weakened alongside other volatile assets, leading many investors to question whether the rally has paused or shifted into a crypto “winter.
Several factors have driven the recent decline in the bitcoin price. Analysts point to an overall risk-off market mood and profit-taking after months of rapid gains. The CNN News report on Feb. 3 highlighted a “nervous mood” on Wall Street, where equities pulled back and Bitcoin “slumped nearly 7%” during the session. Investors are bracing for potential headwinds: recent big tech earnings and developments in the artificial intelligence sector have stoked fears of a slowdown. For instance, CNN noted that AI-focused companies like Salesforce saw sharp drops amid concerns that AI could disrupt software businesses. This tech stock weakness has weighed on Bitcoin as well, since crypto often behaves as a high-beta asset linked to overall market sentiment.
Another key driver has been the rise of traditional safe-haven assets. Gold and silver prices surged in late January and early February even as crypto fell. CNN reported that gold futures jumped 6.7% to about $4,965 per ounce and silver spiked 10% to around $85. As one analyst observed, gold’s recent rally has outpaced Bitcoin’s performance: investors increasingly view precious metals as the dominant store of value during uncertainty. Hashdex strategist Gerry O’Shea noted that Bitcoin’s divergence from gold signals waning “debasement trade” narrative, and he expects continued volatility as crypto markets seek regulatory clarity. In other words, some traditional investors have favored gold over Bitcoin this year, dampening demand for crypto and pressuring its USD price.
Broader economic and policy factors are also at play. The U.S. Federal Reserve met on Jan. 28, 2026 and held interest rates steady at 3.50–3.75%, signaling that officials want more confidence before cutting rates. This cautious stance – coupled with sticky inflation – means higher yields and a stronger dollar may persist, making risk assets like Bitcoin less attractive. (A stronger dollar tends to pressure commodities and crypto, which are dollar-denominated.) Meanwhile, U.S. consumer sentiment has plunged to its lowest level in over a decade, reflecting pessimism that could translate to lower risk-taking. CNN also noted that President Trump’s recent nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair candidate affected sentiment; Warsh is seen as likely to favor higher rates than the president’s preferred looser policy. Taken together, these economic signals have put a damper on Bitcoin’s USD price in the near term.
Finally, crypto-specific dynamics have influenced the slide. As the CNN report mentioned, Bitcoin’s recent drop is happening despite a pro-crypto U.S. political climate (with the administration touting plans to make the U.S. a “crypto capital”). This suggests that supply/demand factors are dominant: some large crypto holders may be selling, and more cautious institutional investors are stepping aside. Market watchers have pointed to the role of corporate treasuries and long liquidations. For example, MicroStrategy – the Nasdaq-listed company with a huge Bitcoin treasury – faces pressure that could force it to sell BTC if its stock falls further. On Monday Feb. 2, a plunge below $76,000 triggered mass liquidations in Bitcoin futures (over $2.5 billion in positions). These cascading liquidations amplify downward pressure on price in the short term. In summary, Bitcoin’s pullback to around $76K is largely driven by a risk-off mood in markets, fuelled by tech stock jitters, safe-haven flows, hawkish Fed signals, and profit-taking by crypto investors.
Understanding Bitcoin’s recent moves requires a look at the overall market environment:
Opinions among analysts vary widely. In the short term, many strategists are cautious or bearish. Zacks Investment Research strategist John Blank – quoted on CNBC – warned on Feb. 2 that Bitcoin could slide to around $40,000 over the next six to eight months if the current trend continues. He bases this estimate on technical patterns (“bitcoin winters” often last 12–18 months) and the possibility that corporations like MicroStrategy may sell from their treasuries. If true, $40K would mark nearly a 50% fall from current levels. Blank noted the persistence of risk-off market conditions and the threat of forced selling as key drivers.
CNBC personalities have echoed the view that volatility is likely to continue. While not a specific numeric prediction, CNBC’s Jim Cramer (a longtime market commentator) recently highlighted Bitcoin’s weekend crash below $76K, calling out the crypto’s unreliability in short time frames. (He pointed to technical support zones around $73K and $77K on technical charts.) The takeaway is that, in the next few weeks, analysts see Bitcoin trading with a wide range, susceptible to sharp moves if markets remain unsettled.
In contrast, most long-term forecasts remain constructive on Bitcoin’s USD price, though they span a large range. A CNBC roundup of analysts published in early January 2026 found 2026 year-end targets between roughly $75,000 and $225,000. In that survey, Standard Chartered lowered its Bitcoin 2026 forecast to about $150,000, reflecting greater caution, while others still envisioned higher levels under continued adoption. Likewise, Goldman Sachs’ digital asset team – as reported by Forbes – cited a scenario where Bitcoin could reach near $200,000 by 2026 if regulatory progress and ETF inflows pick up. Even more optimistic is Bernstein’s thesis of an “elongated” cycle, which sees peaks around $150K in 2026 and $200K in 2027 under favorable conditions (liquidity, ETFs, etc.).
It’s worth stressing that such predictions assume certain tailwinds. In an easier financial environment (e.g. if the Fed cuts rates later in 2026) and with growing institutional buying, many models see Bitcoin resuming its bull trend. By contrast, pessimistic forecasts (like Blank’s) lean on the risk of macro headwinds and demand shocks. The capital.com analysis notes that third-party forecasts hinge on factors like future rate cuts, regulatory clarity, and continued corporate and ETF demand.
Overall, experts acknowledge extreme uncertainty. Some caution that conviction should be tempered: one analysis summarized that predictions range “from around $75,000 to as high as $225,000 for 2026,” emphasizing how small differences in assumptions can swing the price outlook. In practical terms, this means Bitcoin may be headed for more short-term testing of lower supports, but many professional analysts still anticipate new highs over the next few years if adoption and favorable policy converge.
In summary, the bitcoin price in USD has come down sharply from its 2025 peak, trading in the mid-$70,000s as of early February 2026. The latest CNN and market reports confirm Bitcoin’s slide to multi-month lows around $73–$78K. This pullback is attributed to a risk-off environment: equity market jitters, a strong dollar, high yields, and a flight to gold have all weighed on crypto sentiment. Fed policy and economic data (e.g. a holding pattern on interest rates and sluggish consumer confidence) provide a cautious backdrop for asset prices, including Bitcoin.
Looking ahead, traders and investors should brace for continued volatility in the bitcoin price USD. Analysts expect short-term swings as the market digests these cross-currents, with some bearish voices predicting tests of the $40K–$60K range. However, many remain optimistic in the longer view. In the next year or two, Bitcoin could reclaim higher ground if institutional demand (ETFs, custody solutions) grows and macro conditions ease. Ultimately, any outlook must account for Bitcoin’s unique role: a speculative asset with the potential for rapid gains or losses. As experts note, prices will likely continue to gyrate with broader market sentiment, but the fundamental interest in digital stores of value remains strong.



